Wednesday, 24 February 2010

Geeky Addendum

I don’t let the inner physics geek out very often in public but here goes:

If you’re feeling geeky the total area of metal exposed to the sun is a 1m2 (0.5*1 for the collector and the box itself), Solar radiation has a peak power of around 800wm-2 and the energy required to evaporate water is 2260kjkg-1. Some simple maths later shows that it will take four hours to evaporate a kilo of water if the whole process is 25% efficient, the limiting factor i think will be airflow around the fruit.

From an extensive literature review (hahaha) there will be two stages to the drying, the first evaporation limited and then a second stage where the limiting factor will be the transport of water from inside the fruit to the edges where it can be removed. (they’ll also be some boundary layer effects, but i unless anyone has a PhD in fluid dynamics i think we’ll just leave it with, this will slow the process down somewhat.

In terms of the evaporation and and humidity limitations, I have stolen the following graph from Wikipedia:



As you can see at 35°C water can hold 38g of water per m2 (also assuming density of air to be 1kgm-2 as I am very lazy and this isn’t the most rigorous of analysis). If you heat the air to 50°C the holding capacity rises to 95g. The total volume of the Mk I is 0.5m2 meaning to evaporate 1 kg of water will need the air to change around 10 times, but probably closer to 30 if you assume a 30% efficiency. If i had some form of flow meter i could work out how quickly the air is changing inside the box from the flow at the top, but i dont so we'll all have to wonder what could have been if i had brought one with me.

What this graph does show conveniently is that even if the air is saturated at 35°C, you can still use a dryer effectively if the temperature is increased by 15°C.

Also you can see that at the current difference between night and day temperatures (23°C night, 38°C day) the humidity would have to pass RH50% for dew to become a significant problem, as its around 10% at the moment fruit can be left overnight with minimal worry.


Wednesday, 3 February 2010

Accountancy at the sharp and pointy end

As many (all?) of you know in a former life of pork products and all day electricity I was an accountant, the letters which now expensively grace the end of my name apparently designate some form of sharable skill. In the hope of spreading the simple word of double entry, rates of return and income statements I have been working with a NGO called Hope for the Village Child on their microfinance program.

This first involved me desperately reading everything the internet could tell me about microfinance, which told me many things. The first was that I have never actually been an accountant, secondly that this didn’t matter and thirdly and most worryingly that deep down i quite like the bits of this accountancy malarkey which are like financial engineering (I can definitely recommend- Measuring Microcredit Delinquency: Ratios Can Be Harmful To Your Health, 20 pages of pure geeky fun).

After thoroughly reading up on the subject I had a couple meetings with the two people who would be administering the microfinance program. This obviously changed everything, and the plan in my mind went from “microfinance empire” (poorly received) to “I think you’ll need to use what is known as a spreadsheet “ (Enthusiastically received) this may be the only time someone else was more enthusiastic about excel than me. Getting ahead of yourself is a bit of an occupational hazard here, remembering to start small and work from there is the name of the game.


Every January they disburse hand out agricultural loans of around £20-25 to groups of women to help in the improvement of their farms. Each group consists of five or six woman and the whole group is joint and severally liable for the loan of the whole group. Most of these loans should be put to buying goats/renting farmland/developing new income streams. To put it in perspective, £20-25 is probably more than rural families live on a month.Previously these groups have used the money to simply buy up food just after the harvest and then re-selling once prices have risen, which isn't quite the life affirming, liberating change HVC is looking for.

Designing how to do this effectively surprisingly never came up on the ICAS Audit exam.

You have a group of Illiterate woman, who speak only the local village language and a bit of Hausa, a shopping bag full of money, One Land Rover, 2 pens and some paper. What controls would you put in place (12 marks).

The first day we went out we were dealing with around 50 women, and the whole thing nearly descended into a riot. With people pressing in a crowd around the Land Rover (my new mobile office) hands, paper and money everywhere and people giving any old name their group leader told them to give



Example conversation:
Mercy: "whats your name?"
Woman A "err.."
Woman B "Aggie Bobbins"
Woman A" yes how silly of me to forget Aggie Bobbins is the name, chimney sweepings the game"
Mercy "how do you spell that"
Woman A "err...."




In video form

There are a number of problems with the above:

  • Explaining that this money is a loan and has to be repaid
  • Figuring out who you are dealing with
  • Making sure that who you give the money to actually gets to keep it.
  • Getting them to spend it on something worthwhile with the money.

Most of this is work in progress... ideas on a postcard please. We had problems with men hanging around and I suspect simply taking the cash off the woman as soon as we had headed back over the horizon.

Money is in the jargon term fungible. Advanced microfinance theory states trying to control what the money is spent on is pointless and all that is needed is to provide the cash in the family unit will efficiently allocate the capital. In theory, theory is the same as practice, in practice its not. Nigeria has the habit of taking advanced theories down unlit backstreets and beating three kinds of hell out of them and stealing their wallet. However once you give someone some money its quite difficult to get them to spend it on what you want them to spend it on so even though I (plus HVC staff) don't like the theory we're pretty much stuck.

Mercy (who runs the woman’s program and can be seen in the photos) said “we’ll probably come back to find them all with new wrappers”.It’s nice to not be the cynical one all the time!



The simple solution to the identity problem was to take photos of each participant:



This amused the hell out of the customers, “who is this crazy white man with his crazy camera and tiney tiny whiteboard”. But hopefully this should impress on people that “we know who you are” and that the are entering some form of enduring system, its almost all a deterrent factor but hopefully we’ll see higher repayment rates. The rest of the changes will be around general microfinance theory awareness and the record keeping (almost accountancy).

Look at their happy smiling faces

These loans are one year(ish) in duration and attract 10% interest. Which is both a long time and a pretty soft loan (the interest doesn’t cover inflation), so hopefully we’ll be working towards some more text book microfinance over the next six months or so. Currently the farmers whole business model does revolve a single planting season, normally of a single or two crops with a single harvest. This is fine for a western farmer who has access to insurance markets, subsidies, irrigation,fertilisers and a welfare system. For people who have access to none of this it doesn’t take a genius to spot this is somewhat of a high risk strategy.

HVC works on grain banks, to give the farmers a way of storing some excess. Over the next couple of weeks I’ll be using my dubious physics skills to work on building some food dryers. Proper and hygienic drying should allow people to store the early rainy season fruit for up to year and selling this fruit should be an easy way to raise cash (especially if done on a community level, leading to smaller transport costs, more division of labour etc.) The dryers are as simple as a polythene tent over a table, with sliced fruit laid out on wire racks (but don’t tell anyone they think it’s my in-depth knowledge of physics that allows me to copy the design of the internet). I’ll post some photos once they’ve actually been built.

My tragic tale i won’t prolong, you’ve only yourselves to blame if it’s too long, you should never have let me begin....

Tuesday, 2 February 2010

Rich vs the Rat

Mr ratty has been thwarted, by everyone’s favourite stuff... beer. Now he can’t get under the kitchen door I haven’t seen him for a week (cancel the harpoon order Jon).

Before



After



Result: Score Draw - no kills on either side.

There is another hole in the bathroom which lets water from the shower/bucket out. I can keep the door shut but this isn't a long term solution. I fear me and Mr Ratty have not ended our struggle for mutual destruction.

Hope everyone is well, I have a proper blog entry coming soon!